Brazil: Flavio Bolsonaro leads Lula by two points in latest Quaest poll

On the eve of Brazil’s presidential runoff, a Quaest poll published on October 24 gives Flavio Bolsonaro 51% of valid votes, against 49% for Lula, an advantage described as a technical tie. Conducted on October 23 and 24 among 3,702 voters, the survey found Bolsonaro’s rejection rate fell from 52% to 49%, while Lula’s remained at 47%. Quaest found that 51% of Brazilians expect Bolsonaro to win, compared with 37% who expect Lula to prevail. In the October 4 first round, Bolsonaro received about 47% of the vote to Lula’s 45%; the 80-year-old incumbent is seeking a fourth non-consecutive term.