Christian Moleka: Kabila wants to weaken Kinshasa to force negotiations, with a risk of 'balkanization'

Christian Moleka states that Joseph Kabila aims to weaken Kinshasa, possibly by expanding the conflict into Katanga, to pressure the government into negotiations on the Constitution, electoral timetable, or dialogue. He considers a military takeover unlikely but warns that a lasting weakening of Kinshasa could lead to balkanization or 'Sudanization' of the DRC. Moleka suggests this strategy is intended to destabilize the current government to force it to negotiate or to remove it.