‘A Ceuta-style surge is possible’: Border tensions on NATO’s eastern flank

Author: Agnieszka Pikulicka-WilczewskaPublished on: October 9, 2026Country: Latvia
Politics
‘A Ceuta-style surge is possible’: Border tensions on NATO’s eastern flank

Masked and armed men attempted to cross into Latvia from Belarus alongside 20 undocumented migrants, with armed escorts threatening soldiers and urging the migrants forward. Later, the same or different masked men entered Latvia, damaging an electrical box and stealing surveillance cameras before returning to Belarus, an act of sabotage attributed to Belarus. Since May, border violations have increased, reaching 12,000 in September and October, matching the total for the previous year.

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