Poll shows Bolsonaro with slight lead over Lula ahead of Brazilian run-off

Author: Al Jazeera StaffPublished on: October 15, 2026Country: Brazil
Politics
Poll shows Bolsonaro with slight lead over Lula ahead of Brazilian run-off

A Quaest poll released Thursday gives right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro 46 percent of the vote, compared with 44 percent for President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, within the two-point margin of error. The candidates will face each other in Brazil’s October 25 run-off after Bolsonaro edged Lula by less than two points in the October 4 first round, with neither securing a majority. The first Quaest poll since that vote shows Bolsonaro retaining his lead and remaining the favourite. Lula has sought to rally supporters with large gatherings after the first-round loss.

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